Sehr geehrte Damen und Herren,
Leider muss der urspruenglich geplante Vortrag von Herrn Prof. P.
Reichling (Universitaet Magdeburg) am Mittwoch, dem 22.11, entfallen.
Bei der Gelegenheit moechte ich Sie auch auf den Workshop Credit
Risk Management vom 31.1.2001-2.2.2001 in Wien hinweisen; naehere
Informationen finden Sie unter http://www.fam.tuwien.ac.at/crm/
Mit besten Gruessen,
Markus Fulmek
----------------------------------------------------
Wissenschaftlicher Verein Modernes Risk Management
WWW: http://keen.esi.ac.at/~amrm/
Institut fuer Mathematik Universitaet Wien
Strudlhofgasse 4 A-1090 Wien
Kontakt: Dr.Markus Fulmek amrm(a)keen.esi.ac.at
CCEFM (Center for Central European Markets),
eine Initiative der Universitaet Wien, Wirtschaftsuniversitaet Wien,
Technischen Universitaet Wien und der Wiener Börse AG,
laedt zu folgendem Workshop ein:
Javier Suarez (CEMFI),
"Optimal Corporate Governance Structures".
Der Workshop findet am Freitag, 17. November 2000, von 15.30 bis
17.00 in der Wiener Börse, Wallnerstr. 8, 1010 Wien, statt.
Der Artikel "Optimal Corporate Governance Structures ist auf der
Homepage des CCEFM Workshops verfuegbar:
http://info.tuwien.ac.at/ccefm/workshop/work.htm
Sehr geehrte Damen und Herren,
Im Rahmen des "Seminar aus Finanzwirtschaft - Kreditrisiko" haelt
Herr DI W. Mussil (Bank Austria) einen Vortrag mit dem Titel
"Kreditrisikomodellierung in Theorie und Praxis"
Zeit: Mittwoch, 15. November, 17 Uhr
Ort: Hoersaal 6
Technische Universitaet Wien
Karlsplatz 13, Erdgeschoss Stiege 2
1060 Wien
Mit besten Gruessen,
Markus Fulmek
-------------------------------------------------
Wissenschaftlicher Verein Modernes Risk Management
WWW: http://keen.esi.ac.at/~amrm/
Institut fuer Mathematik Universitaet Wien
Strudlhofgasse 4 A-1090 Wien
Kontakt: Dr.Markus Fulmek amrm(a)keen.esi.ac.at
Sehr geehrte Damen und Herren,
Im Rahmen des "Seminar aus Finanzwirtschaft - Kreditrisiko" halten
Frau Dr. U. Feichtinger und Frau DI B. Wlaschitz (Bank Austria)
einen Vortrag mit dem Titel
"Ratingmodelle - von Kundendaten zu Ausfallswahrscheinlichkeiten
durch statistische Methoden"
Zeit: Mittwoch, 8. November, 17 Uhr
Ort: Hoersaal 6
Technische Universitaet Wien
Karlsplatz 13, Erdgeschoss
1060 Wien
Mit besten Gruessen,
Markus Fulmek
--
-------------------------------------------------
Wissenschaftlicher Verein Modernes Risk Management
WWW: http://keen.esi.ac.at/~amrm/
Institut fuer Mathematik Universitaet Wien
Strudlhofgasse 4 A-1090 Wien
Kontakt: Dr.Markus Fulmek amrm(a)keen.esi.ac.at
Sehr geehrte Subscriber des Vienna Finance Newsletters!
Leider kann der für morgen angekündigte Vortrag von Prof. Musiela nicht
stattfinden: Prof. Musiela ist verhindert. Der nächste CCEFM Workshop
ist daher der Vortrag von Prof. Suarez am 17.11.2000.
Hochachtungsvoll,
Alex Stomper
---------- Forwarded message ----------
Date: Thu, 19 Oct 2000 22:27:34 +0200 (MET DST)
From: Summer School in Mathematical Finance <ssmf(a)valjhun.fmf.uni-lj.si>
Subject: Summer School in Mathematical Finance, Dubrovnik, Croatia 2001
FIRST ANNOUNCEMENT
SUMMER SCHOOL IN MATHEMATICAL FINANCE
Inter-University Centre Dubrovnik
Dubrovnik, Croatia, September 17-22, 2001
The aim of the summer school is to have leading researchers
deliver lectures on current research in mathematical
finance. There will be five invited speakers who will each
give 6 expository lectures on topics concerning mainly pric-
ing of derivative securities but will include also term
structure models and actuarial science. There will also be a
limited number of contributed talks. English will be the
official language of the summer school.
PROGRAMME
So far four speakers have confirmed their participation.
The fifth speaker will be announced in the second announce-
ment. The four lecturers are:
Tomas Björk (The Stockholm School of Economics): INTEREST
RATE MODELS.
Mark Davis (Imperial College): MATHEMATICAL MODELS FOR
DEFAULT AND CREDIT RISK.
Paul Embrechts (Swiss Institute of Technology): INSURANCE
ANALYTICS.
Ioannis Karatzas (Columbia University): PRICING AND PORT-
FOLIO OPTIMISATION IN FINANCIAL ECONOMICS MODELS.
ORGANISERS
The organising institution is the Inter-University Centre in
Dubrovnik, Croatia. The IUC is an international organisa-
tion whose members are universities all over the world. At
the moment the number of participating universities is 175
and the list is expected to grow in the future. The main
aim of the Centre is to provide the location and facilities
for meetings, summer schools and conferences in all fields
of science.
The organising committee consists of J. Cvitanic (University
of Southern California), W. Runggaldier (University of
Padova) and W. Schachermayer (Technical University Vienna).
The local organisers are M. Perman (University of Ljubljana)
and Z. Vondracek (University of Zagreb).
REGISTRATION
The registration fee will be 120 EURO for regular partici-
pants and 80 EURO for registered students. The number of
participants is limited to 60. Registration will be handled
on a first come first served basis. You can register on-
line at http://www.math.hr/~ssmf or by sending an e-mail to
ssmf(a)valjhun.fmf.uni-lj.si. You will only be considered
registered once the registration fee has been paid. The
deadline for registration is May 31, 2001.
ACCOMMODATION AND TRAVEL
The best way to get to Dubrovnik is to fly. The local air-
port Cilipi is a short drive from the city. There are regu-
lar flights from Zagreb, Croatia. For more information on
travel and hotels consult the conference homepage.
ABOUT DUBROVNIK
Dubrovnik is located on the eastern coast of the Adriatic
sea close to the southernmost tip of Croatia. It is best
known for its impressive ramparts encircling the picturesque
renaissance inner city, and for its rich and colourful his-
tory. The origins of the city go back to the Romans who
appreciated the suave Mediterranean climate and the beauti-
ful surroundings. The life of the inhabitants has always
been closely tied to the sea; the trading network of the
Ragusan traders extended across Europe and they were known
as reliable partners and were renowned for their shipbuild-
ing skills. At the height of its power in the 15. and 16.
century the tiny city-republic of Dubrovnik had over 150
consular representatives in Europe and was actively involved
in European politics. The ensuing centuries brought a slow
decline as the Mediterranean lost its role as the primary
trading route. As a historical curiosity one should mention
that Dubrovnik was the first state to recognise the indepen-
dence of the United States in 1776. Today tourism is the
main activity in Dubrovnik. It's surroundings and bathing
possibilities along with cultural events have been attract-
ing visitors for many years. In September the weather is
usually sunny and the temperatures range between 25-30C
(78-86F). The water temperatures are around 24C (76F).
Sehr geehrte Damen und Herren,
Im Rahmen des "Seminar aus Finanzwirtschaft - Kreditrisiko" haelt
Herr Mag. W. Fend (BMF) einen Vortrag mit dem Titel
"Aktueller Diskussionsstand in Bruessel/Basel zu den neuen
Kapitalvorschriften fuer Banken und Wertpapierfirmen"
Zeit: Mittwoch, 25. Oktober, 17 Uhr
Ort: Hoersaal 6
Technische Universitaet Wien
Karlsplatz 13, Erdgeschoss
1060 Wien
Mit besten Gruessen,
Markus Fulmek
-------------------------------------------------
Wissenschaftlicher Verein Modernes Risk Management
WWW: http://keen.esi.ac.at/~amrm/
Institut fuer Mathematik Universitaet Wien
Strudlhofgasse 4 A-1090 Wien
Kontakt: Dr.Markus Fulmek amrm(a)keen.esi.ac.at
CCEFM (Center for Central European Markets),
eine Initiative der Universitaet Wien, Wirtschaftsuniversitaet Wien,
Technischen Universitaet Wien und der Wiener Börse AG,
laedt zu folgendem Workshop ein:
Thomas Dangl (Uni Wien),
"Basle Accord vs. Value-at-Risk Regulation in Banking".
Der Workshop findet am Freitag, 20.Oktober 2000, von 15.30 bis
17.00 in der Wiener Börse, Wallnerstr. 8, 1010 Wien, statt.
Weitere Vorträge sind an folgenden Tagen geplant:
3. November 2000, Marek Musiela (University of New South Wales),
17. November 2000, Javier Suarez (CEMFI),
1. Dezember 2000, Raman Uppal (London Business School),
15. Dezember 2000, Jan Krahnen (University of Frankfurt).
Für weitere Informationen:
http://info.tuwien.ac.at/ccefm/workshop/work.htm
Sehr geehrte Damen und Herren,
Vom 31.1.2001 bis 2.2.2001 veranstaltet der Wissenschaftliche Verein
Modernes Risk Management in Zusammenarbeit mit der Oesterreichischen
Nationalbank den international besetzten Workshop
"Credit Risk Management"
mit Fachleuten aus Forschung und Praxis. Naehere Informationen finden
Sie unter
http://www.fam.tuwien.ac.at/crm/
Der groûe Erfolg unserer Seminare in den vergangenen Sommersemestern
soll nun auf das Wintersemester ausgedehnt werden: Die Abteilung
fuer Industriefinanzierung und Investment Banking (Prof. Uhlir, Prof.
Aussenegg und Prof. Pichler) veranstaltet im Wintersemester 2000/01
das "Seminar aus Finanzwirtschaft - Kreditrisiko". Informationen unter
http://info.tuwien.ac.at/E330/Teaching/kreditrisiko.html
Zum ersten Termin haelt Prof. Schwaiger (Innsbruck) einen Vortrag mit
dem Titel
"Auskunftei-Ratings - Eine Alternative zur Steuerung und
Eigenmittelunterlegung von Kreditrisken"
Zeit: Mittwoch, 18. Oktober, 17 Uhr
Ort: Hoersaal 6
Technische Universitaet Wien
Karlsplatz 13, Erdgeschoss
1060 Wien
Mit besten Gruessen,
Markus Fulmek
-------------------------------------------------
Wissenschaftlicher Verein Modernes Risk Management
WWW: http://keen.esi.ac.at/~amrm/
Institut fuer Mathematik Universitaet Wien
Strudlhofgasse 4 A-1090 Wien
Kontakt: Dr.Markus Fulmek amrm(a)keen.esi.ac.at
Ausschreibung einer Assistentenstelle
Am Institut für Betriebswirtschaftslehre des Außenhandels der
Wirtschaftsuniversität Wien ist
1 Universitätsassistent/inn/en/posten, allenfalls
2 Vertragsassistent/inn/en/posten (halbbeschäftigt)
frühestens ab 01. November 2000 zu besetzen.
Gesetzliche Aufnahmebedingungen:
Abgeschlossenes Studium der Sozial- und Wirtschaftswissenschaften
Zusätzlich erwünschte Kenntnisse:
Fundierte Kenntnisse im Bereich der Betriebswirtschaftlehre des
Außenhandels (facheinschlägige wissenschaftliche Arbeiten und/oder
einschlägige praktische Erfahrungen), überdurchschnittlicher Studienerfolg,
Fremdsprachenkenntnisse, Fähigkeit zur Betreuung wissenschaftlicher
Forschungsprojekte, pädagogische Ausbildung und Lehrerfahrung, Bereitschaft
zur Mitarbeit in der Institutsadministration, Streßresistenz, Flexibilität
und hohe Selbstmotivation.
Schriftliche Bewerbungen mit Lebenslauf und Angabe über den Studienerfolg
(ohne Originalzeugnisse) sind an die Personalabteilung im Wege der
Universitätsdirektion, Augasse 2-6, 1090 Wien zu richten.
Bewerbungsfrist: bis 25. Oktober 2000
Bewerberinnen/Bewerber haben keinen Anspruch auf Abgeltung der
aufgelaufenen Reise- und Aufenthaltskosten, die aus Anlaß des
Aufnahmeverfahrens entstanden sind.
Die Wirtschaftsuniversität Wien hat sich eine Erhöhung des Frauenanteils am
wissenschaftlichen Personal zum Ziel gesetzt. Deshalb werden nachdrücklich
Frauen aufgefordert, sich zu bewerben. Es wird darauf hingewiesen, daß
Frauen bei gleicher Qualifikation bevorzugt aufgenommen werden und daß an
der Wirtschaftsuniversität ein Arbeitskreis für Gleichbehandlungsfragen
eingerichtet ist.
Wien, 4. Oktober 2000
+++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++
+
+ O.Univ.Prof. Dr. Reinhard Moser
+ Institut für BWL des Außenhandels
+ Wirtschaftsuniversität Wien
+ A-1090 Wien, Althanstraße 51
+
+ Tel. +43.1.31336.4372
+ Fax +43.1.31336.751
+
+++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++
Dear Colleagues,
Let me call your attention to the ANNUAL RESEARCH CONFERENCE IN FINANCIAL
RISK organised by the International Association of Financial Engineers and
the Hungarian Association of Risk Managers in Budapest, from 12th to 14th
July, 2001. All the relevant information about this event can be found at
www.itcb.hu/conference2001.
We hope to see you in Budapest next year,
Prof. Imre Kondor
for the Organising Committee
______________________________________________________________________
This document should only be read by those persons whom it is addressed and
is not intended to be relied upon by any person without subsequent written
confirmation of its contents. Accordingly, our company disclaim all
responsibility and accept no liability (including in negligence) for the
consequences for any person acting, or refraining from acting, on such
information prior to the receipt by those persons of subsequent written
confirmation.
If you have received this E-mail message in error, please notify us
immediately by telephone. Please also destroy and delete the message from
your computer.
Any form of reproduction, dissemination, copying, disclosure, modification,
distribution and/or publication of this E-mail message is strictly
prohibited.
Einladung zur 4. Fachtagung
Sicherheit in Informationssystemen
SIS 2000
mit Schwerpunkt Electronic Business
Universitaet Zuerich, 5.- 6. Oktober 2000
Veranstalter
============
- Fachgruppe Security der Schweizer Informatiker Gesellschaft
- Arbeitskreis IT-Sicherheit der Oesterreichischen Computer Gesellschaft
- Institut fuer Informatik der Universitaet Zuerich
Zum Thema
=========
Mit der fortschreitenden Kommerzialisierung des Internets gewinnt
auch das Thema Sicherheit von Informationssystemen noch mehr an
Bedeutung. Die Sicherheit der verarbeiteten Informationen dient nicht
mehr nur dazu, Ausfaelle und deren Folgen zu verhindern, sondern stellt
sich vielmehr als "Business Enabler" dar, die viele Geschaeftsideen und
Transaktionen erst ermoeglicht. Sicherheit von Informationssystemen
wird damit zur Basis der Geschaeftstaetigkeit. Voraussetzung fuer
derartige Sicherheit und das Vertrauen der Kunden und Nutzer sind
funktionsfaehige und vertrauenswuerdige Sicherheitsinfrastrukturen.
Vor diesem Hintergrund strebt die Fachtagung SIS 2000 an, die Diskussion
um Electronic Business und Sicherheit anzuregen, neue Aspekte
einzubringen und Loesungswege aufzuzeigen.
Ziel der Fachtagung
===================
ist es, das informationssicherheitsinteressierte Forum, das sich bei
der ersten Fachtagung im Jahre 1994 ebenfalls in Zuerich zusammen-
gefunden hat, zum vierten Mal zu versammeln und auszuweiten. Wissen-
schaftler(innen) und Anwender(innen) aus dem Gebiet der Sicherheit
sollen wiederum zusammenkommen, um den Austausch von Ideen sowie die
weitere Entwicklung dieses Bereiches zu foerdern.
Zielpublikum
============
Auch im Jahre 2000 wendet sich die Veranstaltung sowohl an Wissen-
schaftler(innen), wie auch an Entwickler(innen) und Manager(innen),
welche sich mit der Entwicklung, dem Einsatz oder dem Betrieb von
Informationssystemen befassen.
Zum Inhalt
==========
Das Tagungsprogramm, die Teilnehmergebuehren und ein Anmeldeformular
finden sich auf der Homepage der SIS 2000:
http://www.ifi.unizh.ch/events/SIS/SIS2000/
Eckdaten:
- 3 Hauptvortraege von bekannten Referenten im Sicherheitsbereich
- 2 (parallele) Tutorien zu aktuellen Sicherheitsthemen
- 13 eingereichte Beitraege, die einen Reviewprozess durchlaufen
haben und fuer gut befunden wurden
- Podiumsdiskussion und Streitgespraech
- Best Paper Award fuer Diplomarbeiten ueber Informationssicherheit
Allgemeine Hinweise
===================
Tagungsort Universitaet Zuerich-Irchel
Winterthurerstr. 190, CH-8057 Zuerich
Tagungssekretariat: Frau Elisabeth Ulrich
Tel.: (+41)(1) 635 43 14
Fax.: (+41)(1) 635 68 09
E-Mail: sis2000(a)ifi.unizh.ch
--
Harald Weidner http://www.ifi.unizh.ch/~weidner/
4. Fachtagung Sicherheit in Informationssystemen (SIS 2000) 5./6.10.00
http://www.ifi.unizh.ch/events/SIS/SIS2000/
---------- Forwarded message (reformatted) ----------
Date: Fri, 14 Jul 2000 16:07:36 +0200
From: Robert Tompkins <rtompkins(a)ins.at>
FINANCIAL OPTIONS RESEARCH CENTRE
WARWICK BUSINESS SCHOOL
UNVERSITY OF WARWICK
Director: Professor Stewart Hodges
13th ANNUAL OPTIONS CONFERENCE
Thursday & Friday 14 - 15 September 2000
The Centre was established to bridge the gap between leading academic
work on financial markets and the needs of practitioners, particularly
those concerned with derivative instruments and risk management.
FORC's research policy is to identify and work on those topics of the
greatest importance at the boundary between academic research on
derivatives and its applications in the market place.
The conference provides a unique forum for leading practitioners and
academics to discuss the latest advances in the pricing and hedging of
derivatives. We are proud of our record of identifying and promoting
key new developments:
This year's programme provides another hand picked selection of the most
exciting new theoretical and empirical research. We are pleased to
present the following speakers
Mark Davis
Stephen Figlewski
Helyette Geman
Stewart Hodges
Farshid Jamshidian
Jean-Philippe Bouchaud
Klaus Sandmann
Andrew Smith
Nassim Taleb
Robert Tompkins
WHERE AND WHEN
The conference will be held in Scarman House, at the University of
Warwick. The Conference will start at 10.00 am on Thursday 14 September
2000 and end at 5.00 pm on Friday 15 September 2000. A bus will meet
participants off the 8.15 am train from Euston, London, arriving at
Coventry Station at 9.30 am on Thursday and take them back to Coventry
station on Friday to catch the 5:37 pm train to Euston, arriving in
London at 6.55 pm.
Contact No. for enquiries: 024 76 524118
or E-mail: forcsha(a)wbs.warwick.ac.uk
Fax 024 76 524167
-------------------------------------------------------------------------
To get further information and an application form (as a MS-Word
document) contact Robert Tompkins <rtompkins(a)ins.at> or
<forcsha(a)wbs.warwick.ac.uk>.
CONFERENCE PROGRAMME
Thursday 14 September 2000
9.30 Registration/Coffee
10.00 On the Market Model of Futures Rates
Futures contracts are in many cases the basic securities of an interest
rate market. In despite of this observation most interest rate models
assume the forward rates as primary elements of the model. The process
of futures prices is therefore endogenous to these models. In addition
hedging strategies are formulated in terms of forward and/or spot
contracts and to a less extent in terms of futures. The modelling
framework used in this presentation is based on the Market Model
approach. Instead of finitely compounded forward rates implied futures
rates are the primary objects. The relationship between these two
modelling assumptions will be discussed and first pricing results will
be derived. Furthermore the relationship between a Market Model
approach and the Heath, Jarrow and Morton approach for continuously
compounded interest rates is investigated. Klaus Sandmann
11.15 Libor Market Model with Semimartingales
This paper extends the Libor market model to general semimartingales.
Appealing simplifications occur for special semimartingales. The case
where forward Libor rates are driven by a Brownian motion and a general
integer-valued random measure is especially highlighted. Basically,
from the existence of a state-price density, the drift of the forward
Libor system is determined in terms of the other two characteristics,
namely the covariation matrix of the continuous part and Levy measure of
the system. Necessary and sufficient conditions are established, and
formulae for forward Libor rates and deflated bond prices are derived in
the actual, forward, and spot-Libor measures. Several other topics,
such as continuous compounding as the limiting case and model
construction, are discussed. Farshid Jamshidian
12.30 Lunch
2.00 Pricing Beyond the Curve
Wherever possible, practitioners seek to price derivatives in a way
which is consistent with an observed yield curve. But some products
extend beyond the observable yield curve. Simplistic extrapolation
methods may be unstable and lead to predictable convexity losses on
revaluation. This paper considers extrapolation methods which arise from
Markovian models and are consistent with absence of arbitrage. We
identify the long spot rate as the leading eigenvalue of an integral
operator, and obtain asymptotic long bond formulas which extend the
result of Dybvig, Ingersoll and Ross. We illustrate the techniques by
pricing various long pension liabilities, expressed in currency terms,
or relative to inflation, or defined by compounded inflation subject to
caps and floors applied annually. Andrew Smith
3.10 Optimal Hedging with Basis Risk
It often happens that options are written on underlying assets that
cannot be traded directly, but where a 'closely related' asset can be
traded. Rather than simply using the traded asset as a proxy for the
option underlying, one should calculate some 'best' hedging strategy.
This is an 'incomplete markets' problem, and we address it using a
utility maximization approach. With exponential utility the optimal
hedging strategy can be computed in reasonably explicit form using the
methods of convex duality. In particular, a perturbation analysis using
ideas of Malliavin calculus gives the modification to the exact
replication strategy that is appropriate when the option underlying and
traded assets are highly, but not perfectly, correlated. Mark Davis
4.20 Afternoon Tea
4.50 The Sampling Properties of Volatility Cones
In this research, we extend the original work on volatility cones by
Burghardt and Lane (1990) to consider of the sampling properties of the
variance of variance (and the standard deviation of volatility) under a
rich class of models that includes stochastic volatility and
conditionally fat-tailed distributions. Because the volatility cone
examines volatility at quite long horizons, the estimation requires the
use of overlapping data. This theory confirms the casual observation
that the estimation of the variance of variance is downward biased when
estimation is done on an overlapping basis. We identify what this bias
is and derive an adjustment factor that approximates an unbiased
estimate of the true variance of variance over various horizons when
overlapping data is used. Robert Tompkins
6.00 Finish in time for Dinner in the Sutherland Suite, Rootes Social
Building at 7.00 for 7.30 pm.
Friday 15 September 2000
9.00 Coffee
9.30 Hedging Errors under Misspecified Asset Price Processes
The paper provides a fairly general representation for hedging errors
under misspecified asset price processes. The hedging errors are then
studied in more detail for standard vanilla options, including the
relationship between the size of the hedging errors and the error in
volatility. Two alternative approaches are provided for estimating the
moments of the distribution of hedging errors: binomial tree and kernel
estimation. The analysis has potential implications for understanding
the risks of other, more exotic, contingent claims and of portfolios of
claims. Stewart Hodges/Iliana Anagnou
10.35 Historical Option Pricing: Smile, Skew and Volatility
Correlations
In this seminar, we will present recent advances in option pricing
beyond Black-Scholes, in particular we will discuss the relationship
between smile and skew/kurtosis in the terminal distribution. The main
point is to understand why the smile survives to long maturity. From an
empirical analysis of the statistics of stock prices, we will illustrate
the impact of long-range volatility auto-correalations on kurtosis and
that of price-volatility correlations on skewness. In the light of this
analysis, we will comment on recent multifractal models. Jean-Philippe
Bouchaud/ Marc Potters
11.40 Coffee
12.00 The Fine Structure of Asset Returns: An Empirical Investigation
Rubinstein binomial approximation of the process as well as delivering
unique pricing of derivatives by arbitrage. In order to capture the
recent moves of the Dow Jones and Nasdaq, we propose to introduce jumps
in the trajectories. In contrast with the Continuity of price processes
has served finance as a convenient and powerful assumption, justifying
the Cox-Ross-standard modelling of jumps for asset returns, the jump
component can display finite or infinite variation. Empirical
investigations of time series indicate that index dynamics (e.g., SPX,
RUT) are essentially devoid of a diffusion component while this
component may be present in the dynamics of individual stocks: we
analyse over a five year period time series of 13 stock prices including
IBM, General Electrics and other major companies. This result leads to
the conjecture that the risk-neutral process should be free of a
diffusion component for both indices and individual stocks. Empirical
investigation of options data tends to confirm this conjecture.
Helyette Geman
1.10 Lunch
2.30 Asymmetries in Dynamic Hedging
Discreteness in time and price movements of asset prices induces
significant asymmetries between short and long option portfolios. We
examine the microstructure of order execution and the tracking of the
replicating process. We argue that an operator long options may incur
positive transaction costs. Nassim Taleb
3.35 Afternoon Tea
3.55 Model Risk in Option Pricing
Trading in derivatives involves heavy use of quantitative models for
valuation and risk management. Traders use the available models
extensively, and make a variety of ad hoc adjustments to try to bring
the models into line with the real world. The practical result is
exposure to "model risk". We will report results from an empirical
simulation using historical data for several important markets, that
allow a quantitative assessment impact of model risk. Pricing and
hedging errors due to imperfect models and inaccurate volatility
forecasts create sizable risk exposure. We then go on to consider the
broader issue of how to evaluate the practical contribution of a given
model. The performance of a theoretical model is compared to that of a
"null model" based on minimal information. Stephen Figlewski
5.00 FINISH
Coach will take delegates to catch the 5.37 pm train from
Coventry, arriving at Euston at 6.55 pm
CONFERENCE SPEAKERS
Farshid Jamshidian is managing director of NetAnalytic, a risk
management products and services company he founded in 1999.
Previously he was Managing Director of New Products and Equity
Derivatives at Sakura Global Capital (1994-99), Executive Director of
Technical Trading at Fuji International Finance (1991-94) and head of
fixed-quantitative fixed-income research at Merrill Lynch (1986-91).
His experience covers both fixed-income and equity research and trading.
Dr. Jamshidian has made important contributions to the theory contingent
claims, and has published extensively, especially on interest-rate
modelling. He has Ph.D. in mathematics from Harvard University, and an
MSc. in computer science from Stanford University.
Mark Davis is a Visiting Professor in the Financial and Actuarial
Mathematics Group at the Technical University of Vienna and, from August
2000, Professor of Mathematics at Imperial College London. From 1995-99
he was Head of Research and Product Development at Tokyo-Mitsubishi
International (TMI), the London-based investment banking subsidiary of
the Tokyo-Mitsubishi Bank, where his front-office group developed
pricing models and risk analysis for equity, fixed-income and credit
derivative products. Prior to this he was at Imperial College,
specializing in stochastic analysis, control theory and financial
mathematics. He holds a PhD in Electrical Engineering from the
University of California and an ScD in Mathematics from Cambridge
University.
Andrew Smith is an associate at Bacon & Woodrow, actuaries and
consultants. He is responsible for the development and implementation of
Monte Carlo worldwide capital market models. He applies these to pricing
and risk management problems for financial institutions.
Stephen Figlewski is a Professor of Finance at the New York University
Leonard N. Stern School of Business, where he has been since 1976. He
has published extensively in academic journals, especially in the area
of financial futures and options. He is the founding Editor of The
Journal of Derivatives and an Associate Editor for several other
journals. He also edits the Financial Economics Network's two
"Derivatives" series published over the Internet. His most recent
endeavour is the NYU Stern School Derivatives Research Project. He has
also spent time on Wall Street. He was a Vice President at the First
Boston Corporation, in charge of research on equity derivative products,
and has been a member of the New York Futures Exchange and a Competitive
Options Trader at the New York Stock Exchange.
Professor H�lyette Geman is a graduate from Ecole Normale Sup�rieure,
holds a master's degree in theoretical physics and PhDs in probability
theory and Finance. Previously a Director at Caisse des D�p�ts in change
of Research and Development, she is currently a scientific adviser for
major financial institutions and industrial firms. Dr Geman received in
1993 the first prize of the Merrill Lynch awards for her work on exotic
options and has extensively published in the top international journals.
She is the author of the book ( Insurance and Weather Derivatives (.
Robert Tompkins holds joint appointments as a University Dozent at the
Technical Universitaet, Vienna and in the Finance Group at the Institute
for Advanced Studies (Vienna). He was formerly the Head of
International Quantitative Research at Kleinwort Benson Investment
Management. In addition, he remains the Managing Director of the Minerva
Group. Prior to this, he was the Futures and Options Specialist at
Merrill Lynch, Europe and an Interest Rate Options Dealer and Currency
Options Trader at two major Chicago banks. He has an MA in Quantitative
Methods and an MBA from the University of Chicago, and a PhD in Finance
from the University of Warwick. Robert has authored three books on
Options and edited a book on exotic options "From Black Scholes to Black
Holes". He has published widely in RISK Magazine, and a number of
academic journals.
Nassim N. Taleb is currently President and Head Trader at Empirica
Capital LLC, an option hedge fund operator in Greenwich CT, and a fellow
and adjunct professor at the Courant Institute of New York University.
He previously held positions of senior derivatives trader at a variety
of houses (including CSFB, UBS, Bankers Trust and Paribas), and operated
as an independent floor trader on the Chicago exchanges. He holds an
MBA from the Wharton School and a Ph.D. from Paris-Dauphine and is the
author of Dynamic Hedging (Wiley 1997). His main research focuses
around volatility econometrics and the adaptation of option theory to
the real-world stochastic process.
Marc Potters Marc Potters holds a Ph.D. in physics from Princeton
University and was a post-doctoral fellow at the University of Rome `La
Sapienza'. In 1995, he joined Science & Finance a research company
located in Paris and founded by J.-P. Bouchaud and J.-P. Aguilar. Dr.
Potters is now Head of Research of S&F. In collaboration with the
researchers at S&F, he has published numerous articles in the new field
of statistical finance and worked on concrete applications of financial
forecasting, option pricing and risk control
Jean Philippe Bouchaud Jean-Philippe Bouchaud. graduated from Ecole
Normale Suprieure in Paris, where he obtained his PhD in physics. He
was then appointed by the CNRS until 1992, where he worked on diffusion
in random media. Dr Bouchaud joined the Service de Physique de l'Etat
Condens (CEA-Saclay) where he works on the dynamics of glassy systems
and on granular media. His work in finance includes extreme risk
control and alternative
Stewart Hodges Stewart Hodges directs the Financial Options Research
Centre and is Professor of Financial Management at the University of
Warwick. He is an associate editor of the Journal of Derivatives and
has published widely. His current research interests include the role
of derivatives in incomplete markets and their use in investment
management.
* * *
CCEFM (Center for Central European Markets),
eine Initiative der Universitaet Wien, Wirtschaftsuniversitaet Wien,
Technischen Universitaet Wien und der Wiener Börse AG,
laedt zu folgendem Workshop ein:
David Bates (University of Iowa)
"Post-'87 Crash Fears in the S&P 500 Futures Option Market"
Der Votrag findet morgen, am Mittwoch, dem 21.6.2000, von 16.30 bis
18.00
im Heinz-Zemanek Saal, TU Wien, Favoritenstr. 11 statt.
___ ___ _______ _______ _____
| | || ___|| | | ______ | |_
| | || ___|| ||______|| |
\_____/ |___| |__|____| |_______|
Vienna Finance Newsletter <vfn-l(a)fam.tuwien.ac.at>
Liebe Teilnehmerinnen und Teilnehmer
des Vienna Finance Newsletter!
Wenn Sie einen Blick auf das Archiv der gesammelten Aussendungen des
VFN-L unter der Adresse http://www.fam.tuwien.ac.at/pipermail/vfn-l/
werfen, sehen Sie, dasz vor genau 5 Jahren, am Montag, den 19. Juni
1995, die erste Vortragsankuendigung ueber VFN-L verschickt wurde:
Vortrag 20.6. - Prof. Embrechts (Zuerich)
Walter Schachermayer <WSCHACH(a)STAT1.BWL.UNIVIE.AC.AT>
Mon, 19 Jun 1995 16:12:32 GMT-1
Vortragsankuendigung
Achtung: Dienstag 20. Juni 1995
Auf Einladung des Versicherungsverbandes
(Koordination: Univ.-Doz.DDr. Buchta) haelt
Prof. Paul Embrechts (ETH Zuerich) (...)
nachzulesen unter der Adresse
http://www.fam.tuwien.ac.at/pipermail/vfn-l/1995q2/000018.html
VFN-L blickt somit auf stolze 5 Jahre Ankuendigungen zurueck und wir,
die Abteilung fuer Finanz- und Versicherungsmathematik an der TU Wien,
freuen uns, die Liste weiterhin zu betreuen.
Wenn Sie Fragen, Wuensche oder Anregungen haben, koennen Sie sich
jederzeit an den Administrator der Liste wenden. Schreiben Sie an
vfn-l-admin(a)fam.tuwien.ac.at
Allgemeine Informationen und die Moeglichkeit zur Aenderung der fuer
Ihre eMail-Adresse gespeicherten Einstellungen finden Sie unter
http://www.fam.tuwien.ac.at/mailman/listinfo/vfn-l
Mit den besten Grueszen,
Ihr vfn-l list-admin,
-- Andreas Schamanek
P.S.: Anlaeszlich des Geburtstags erlaube ich mir, auch nochmal auf den
fuer heute angekuendigten Vortrag von Prof. U. Rieder (Univ. Ulm) ueber
"Optimale Portfolio Strategien" (Montag, 19. VI. 2000, 17 Uhr, Leopold-
Schmetterer-Seminarraum, Institut f. Statistik und Decision Support
Systems, Universitaetsstrasse 5/3.Stock (Lift!) 1010 Wien) hinzuweisen,
siehe auch
http://www.fam.tuwien.ac.at/pipermail/vfn-l/2000q2/000342.html
Sehr geehrte Damen und Herren,
Im Rahmen des Seminars "Finanzmathematik" haelt Herr
Dr. Peter Schaller (Bank Austria) einen Vortrag mit
dem Thema
"Verteilungsannahmen im Markt- und
Kreditrisikomanagement"
Zeit: Mittwoch, 21. VI. 2000, 18 Uhr
Ort: Hoersaal 1
Institut fuer Mathematik
Strudlhofgasse 4
1090 Wien
Mit diesem Vortrag schliesst unser Seminar fuer dieses
Sommersemester: Wir wuenschen allen Teilnehmern und
Interessenten einen erholsamen Sommer und freuen uns
auf ein Wiedersehen im naechsten Studienjahr.
Mit besten Gruessen,
Markus Fulmek
-------------------------------------------------
Wissenschaftlicher Verein Modernes Risk Management
WWW: http://keen.esi.ac.at/~amrm/
Institut fuer Mathematik Universitaet Wien
Strudlhofgasse 4 A-1090 Wien
Kontakt: Dr.Markus Fulmek amrm(a)keen.esi.ac.at
Sehr geehrte Damen und Herren,
Im Rahmen des Kolloquiums aus Statistik, Operations Research
und Informatik haelt Prof. U. Rieder (Univ. Ulm) einen Vortrag
ueber
"Optimale Portfolio Strategien"
Zeit: Montag, 19. VI. 2000, 17 Uhr
Ort: Leopold-Schmetterer-Seminarraum
Institut fuer Statistik und Decision Support Systems
Universitaetsstrasse 5/3.Stock (Lift!)
1010 Wien
Mit besten Gruessen,
Markus Fulmek
--
-------------------------------------------------
Wissenschaftlicher Verein Modernes Risk Management
WWW: http://keen.esi.ac.at/~amrm/
Institut fuer Mathematik Universitaet Wien
Strudlhofgasse 4 A-1090 Wien
Kontakt: Dr.Markus Fulmek amrm(a)keen.esi.ac.at
Sehr geehrte Damen und Herren,
Im Rahmen des Seminars "Finanzmathematik" haelt Herr
Mag. Manfred Angel (ERSTE Bank) einen Vortrag zum Thema
"CreditManager in der Praxis"
Behandelt werden die Datenanforderungen und deren Komplexitaet
bei der Implementierung, die Vorstellung der derzeit aktuellen
Release 2.5.2 des CreditManager sowie eine Auswahl der
Ergebniskennzahlen/Analysemoeglichkeiten und deren
Interpretation.
Zeit: Mittwoch, 14. VI. 2000, 18 Uhr
Ort: Hoersaal 1
Institut fuer Mathematik
Strudlhofgasse 4
1090 Wien
Mit besten Gruessen,
Markus Fulmek
-------------------------------------------------
Wissenschaftlicher Verein Modernes Risk Management
WWW: http://keen.esi.ac.at/~amrm/
Institut fuer Mathematik Universitaet Wien
Strudlhofgasse 4 A-1090 Wien
Kontakt: Dr.Markus Fulmek amrm(a)keen.esi.ac.at
---------- Forwarded message ----------
Date: Mon, 22 May 2000 10:10:13 +0200
From: Sylvia Fruehwirth <sfruehwi(a)isis.wu-wien.ac.at>
(...)
EINLADUNG ZUM EINEM GASTVORTRAG
AM INSTITUT FUeR STATISTIK DER WU WIEN
Prof. Milbrodt (Universitaet Koeln)
... und sie bewegt sich doch! -- Ein Blick in
Geschichte und Gegenwart der Personenversicherungsmathematik
Zeit: Mittwoch, 21. Juni, 17 Uhr
Ort: Seminarraum des Instituts fuer Statistik der WU Wien
UZA II, 4. Stock (1090 Wien, Augasse 2-6, U6 Spittelau,
Ausgang 'Verkehrsamt')
Abstract:
Die Mathematik der Personenversicherung gilt vielfach -- im
Gegensatz zur Schadenversicherungsmathematik, zur mathematischen
Risikotheorie und besonders zur stochastischen Finanzmathematik --
als statisch, von langjaehriger Marktregulierung und behoerdlicher
Aufsicht in vielen Laendern gepraegt, kurz als wissenschaftlich
wenig attraktives Teilgebiet der Versicherungsmathematik. Mit
diesem Vortrag soll gezeigt werden, dass dies ein Vorurteil ist.
Dazu wird der Blick auf die Zeit gelenkt, in der die Personen-
versicherungsmathematik in Bewegung geriet, auf das 17. Jahrhundert,
und insbesondere auf die Geburt und Bluete der modernen Lebens-
versicherung im damaligen absolutistischen Frankreich und in den
Niederlanden. Es wird versucht, anzudeuten, welcher gesellschaft-
liche Bedarf hinter dieser Entwicklung stand und welchen "mathema-
tischen Bedarf" sie nach sich zog.
--
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.06060001.
Sehr geehrte Damen und Herren,
Im Rahmen des Seminars "Finanzmathematik" haelt Herr
DI Walter Mussil (Bank Austria) einen Vortrag zum Thema
"Kreditrisiko in Theorie und Praxis"
Der Vortrag wird das Schwergewicht auf die Sicht der
Praktiker legen.
Zeit: Mittwoch, 7. VI. 2000, 18 Uhr
Ort: Hoersaal 1
Institut fuer Mathematik
Strudlhofgasse 4
1090 Wien
Mit besten Gruessen,
Markus Fulmek
-------------------------------------------------
Wissenschaftlicher Verein Modernes Risk Management
WWW: http://keen.esi.ac.at/~amrm/
Institut fuer Mathematik Universitaet Wien
Strudlhofgasse 4 A-1090 Wien
Kontakt: Dr.Markus Fulmek amrm(a)keen.esi.ac.at
CCEFM (Center for Central European Markets),
eine Initiative der Universitaet Wien, Wirtschaftsuniversitaet Wien,
Technischen Universitaet Wien und der Wiener Börse AG,
laedt zum Workshop von
Gerald Garvey (University of British Columbia)
über das Thema
"The Optimal and Actual use of EVA in Executive Compensation"
am Dienstag, dem 6. Juni von 16.00 bis 17.30 ein.
Der Vortrag wird im Besprechungsraum, Lehrstuhl Prof. Hax
am BWZ-Uni Wien, Bruennerstr. 72, 1210 Wien stattfinden.
Sehr geehrte Damen und Herren,
Im Rahmen des Seminars "Finanzmathematik" haelt Herr
Mag. Franz Partsch (Oesterreichische Nationalbank) einen
Vortrag zum Thema
"Konsultationspapier der EU:
Anforderungen an interne Rating-Systeme"
Zeit: Mittwoch, 31. V. 2000, 18 Uhr
Ort: Hoersaal 1
Institut fuer Mathematik
Strudlhofgasse 4
1090 Wien
Mit besten Gruessen,
Markus Fulmek
-------------------------------------------------
Wissenschaftlicher Verein Modernes Risk Management
WWW: http://keen.esi.ac.at/~amrm/
Institut fuer Mathematik Universitaet Wien
Strudlhofgasse 4 A-1090 Wien
Kontakt: Dr.Markus Fulmek amrm(a)keen.esi.ac.at
by Wissenschaftlicher Verein Modernes Risk Management
Sehr geehrte Damen und Herren,
Im Rahmen des Seminars "Finanzmathematik" haelt Herr
Dr. Bruno Katzengruber (Kommunalkredit) einen Vortrag
zum Thema
"Kreditrisikomodelle im Vergleich:
Datenprobleme und Robustheit"
Zeit: Mittwoch, 24. V. 2000, 18 Uhr
Ort: Hoersaal 1
Institut fuer Mathematik
Strudlhofgasse 4
1090 Wien
Mit besten Gruessen,
Markus Fulmek
--
-------------------------------------------------
Wissenschaftlicher Verein Modernes Risk Management
WWW: http://keen.esi.ac.at/~amrm/
Institut fuer Mathematik Universitaet Wien
Strudlhofgasse 4 A-1090 Wien
Kontakt: Dr.Markus Fulmek amrm(a)keen.esi.ac.at